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Stock futures are trading near the flatline overnight as the S&P 500 approached its best first-quarter performance in five years. S&P 500 futures inched lower by 0.08%, while Nasdaq 100 futures declined 0.1%. Stocks rallied across the board on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 gaining 0.86% to close at a record high. The major averages are tracking for their second consecutive winning quarter and fifth straight winning month. For the quarter, the S&P 500 is up about 10%.
Persons: Stocks, You've, you've, Hogan, Riley, Dow Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow
New York CNN —Former President Donald Trump is once again warning the stock market is doomed unless voters return him to the White House. He went on to say a loss for him would spark “the largest stock market crash we’ve ever had.”But there is no evidence to support that claim. “This is just an encore presentation of what he said last time,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Financial. In fact, the stock market has generated higher annual returns when Democrats are in power. It’s true that Trump’s surprise victory in November 2016 helped spark an impressive rally in the stock market as investors bet on deregulation, tax cuts and infrastructure.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, you’re, ” Trump, , Brian Gardner, “ There’s, ” David Kelly, , Kelly, Joe Biden, Biden, Hogan, ” Sam Stovall, he’s, “ It’s, Dow, ” Kelly, Gardner, James Singer, CNN it’s “, ” Singer, Jerome Powell —, Powell, Jerome Powell, Greg Valliere, Trump’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, CNN, White, Trump, Asset Management, Dow, Riley, CFRA Research, GOP, , Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Biden, Republicans, Democrat, Research, , Republican, AGF Investments Locations: New York, Washington, Trump, China
After turbocharging late 2023's stock market rally, some of the " Magnificent 7 " technology darlings are looking less magnificent this year. Shares of Meta and Nvidia are leading the Magnificent 7 for the year, with both stocks jumping roughly 34% each. The rest of the Magnificent 7 stocks, however, have received anywhere from 70% to 85% buy rating consensus. While the other five are forecast to see at least double-digit earnings growth estimates, analysts predict Apple's earnings growth to stay relatively unchanged. On the other hand, consensus estimates call for Tesla earnings to fall by 20%.
Persons: turbocharging, Tesla, Art Hogan, Hogan, Baird, Elon Musk's, Ben Kallo, Tim Long, Piper Sandler, Harsh Kumar, Charles Schwab, Kevin Gordon, Gordon, Ed Yardeni, isn't, Yardeni, Russell, Fred Imbert Organizations: Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, Wall Street, Riley Wealth Management, CNBC, BYD, Barclays, Blips, Yardeni Research, titans Locations: Delaware, China
Wall Street continues to climb a wall of worry even as investors deliberate how much longer equities can maintain their record run. But questions remain for investors after some major disappointments in an intense week suggested more challenges ahead. Apple dropped 3% this week after reporting lackluster earnings, weighing on the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Elsewhere in corporate earnings, regional banks as represented by the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF slid 7% after poor results from New York Community Bank spurred investor fears of a wider contagion. Signs of market weakness For investors, there may be more issues in the market going forward in 2024.
Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, Apple, Scott Rubner, Goldman Sachs, Rubner, Russell, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, CNBC's, Sonders, Lehman, Raymond James, Josh Beck, James McCann, Abrdn, McCann, Rhys WIlliams, Williams, it's, Art Hogan, They're, Hogan, Estee, Eli Lilly, Ralph Lauren, Rowe Price, Philip Morris Organizations: Meta, Dow Jones, Regional Banking, New York Community Bank, Bank, Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple, Markets, Wayve Capital Management, Riley, Atlanta, PMI, Simon Property, Companies, Tyson Foods, Semiconductor, Caterpillar, Prudential Financial, Ford Motor, Enphase Energy, GE Healthcare Technologies, Consumer, Walt Disney Co, Wynn Resorts, PayPal, Brands, CVS Health, Hilton Worldwide, Uber Technologies, Costco Wholesale, Motorola Solutions, Expedia, Rowe Price Group, ConocoPhillips, The Hershey Co, Philip Morris International, PepsiCo Locations: China
Dollar hovers near 7-week high as Fed cut bets shift to May
  + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
In this photo illustration, a person seen holding a 100 US dollar bill in his hand. The dollar has been buoyed by U.S. economic data suggesting the Fed can wait longer before cutting interest rates. Powell gave the currency another push overnight by calling a cut in March "not the base case." Traders are now pricing in a 38% probability the Fed will cut rates in March, down from 59% ahead of the Fed decision. Against Japan's currency, the dollar drifted 0.06% lower to 146.81 yen , adding to Wednesday's 0.47% decline.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Hogan, Riley, Sean Callow Organizations: Federal, Treasury, U.S, New, Bancorp, Fed, Traders, New York Community Bancorp, Investors, UST, Westpac, U.S . Locations: U.S, New York
On the other hand, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures hovered near the flatline. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.97%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite respectively gained 1.25% and 1.3%. The action follows a Wednesday sell-off that started after Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell indicated that a rate cut at the March meeting was unlikely. Economists polled by Dow Jones are calling for payrolls to have grown by 185,000 positions, and for the unemployment rate to inch higher to 3.8%. That compares to December's blowout of 216,000 positions added and an unemployment rate of 3.7%.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Art Hogan, It's, it's, Hogan, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Meta, Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Dow Jones, Federal, Riley Wealth Management, CNBC, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Myers Squibb Locations: China, mull, Bristol, Cigna
Wall Street is headed into the thick of earnings season, with results on deck from the bulk of the so-called Magnificent Seven names. On top of that, the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy decision and the January jobs report will be in focus. Federal Reserve meeting Investors aren't anticipating much out of the Fed meeting next week. Market participants say recent reports show the trends have been going in the right direction, and Friday's report is expected to confirm the softening in the jobs market. Other significant earnings in the week ahead include Boeing , a major Dow component.
Persons: Russell, we've, Shannon Saccocia, Jonathan Krinsky, Tesla, that'll, Hogan, you've, John Bailer, Jerome Powell, Tony Welch, Welch, FactSet Organizations: Microsoft, Nvidia, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, JPMorgan, Riley Securities, Newton Investment Management, Fed, PCE, Boeing, Alaska Airlines, Dallas, Whirlpool, Petroleum, United Parcel Service, General Motors, Pfizer, Devices, ADP, ECI Civilian Workers, Chicago PMI, Mastercard, Qualcomm, Labor, PMI, Manufacturing, Apple, Chevron, Exxon Mobil Locations: Thursday's, nonfarm payrolls, Chicago, Royal Caribbean, Michigan
This all-time high confirms the bull market that started in October 2022 when the broad index hit a low of 3,577.03. While the conventional wisdom holds a bull market is any gain greater than 20%, most market observers wait for a new high to be made before calling it an official bull market. The median length of a bull run is just north of 1,500 days. Performance in a bull market can vary. The longest bull run lasted between 2009 and 2020 — nearly 4,000 calendar days — with an overall gain of more than 400%.
Persons: Hogan Organizations: CFRA Research, Bull, Federal Reserve, Riley Wealth Management, Investment
"This is a market that's gotten itself a little jazzed up about rate cuts and when they're going to happen," he said. "If the wheels are coming off the economic cart and the Fed has to rush in to stimulate that, that's bad rate cuts, right?" "The good rate cuts are if the path of inflation continues toward the Fed's target. That's a good rate cut. As usual, markets will be looking at more than the headline payrolls number for the health of the labor market.
Persons: Justin Sullivan, Dow Jones, Art Hogan, Riley Financial, Hogan, It's Organizations: Dow, Riley, Federal, Big Tech Locations: San Rafael , California
Wall Street will endeavor to keep the November momentum going in the final month of 2023, as investors look for a broadening out of the rally that has been dominated this year by a handful of tech names. It also marked the best monthly performance for the S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite since July 2022. While the S & P 500 cap-weighted index climbed more than 18% this year, the equal-weighted index is up by just over 4%. They highlight the attractive relative valuation of value stocks compared to growth stocks, as well as the significant underweighting of value names in portfolios by traders. And the question is, is it going to be in 2024, is it going to be 2025 or in 2026?
Persons: Stocks, Hogan, Olivier Sarfati, GenTrust's Sarfati, Carlos Asilis, Asilis, FactSet, nonfarm payrolls, They're, TK, Nonfarm Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Riley, Apple, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Tesla, Expedia, Paramount Global, Russell, Glovista Investments, PMI, Services PMI, ADP, Labor, Consumer Credit, Broadcom Locations: U.S, Michigan
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 15, 2023. However, minutes from the latest Fed meeting on Tuesday showing policymakers' cautious approach towards monetary policy weighed on optimism around the prospects of a rate cut early next year. The three headwinds were higher energy prices, higher Treasury yields and a stronger dollar and for the last three weeks, all of those headwinds now become tailwinds," said Hogan. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 2.31-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 2.24-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded 34 new 52-week highs and one new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 54 new highs and 40 new lows.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Art Hogan, Hogan, Sam Altman, Caterpillar, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Deere, Co, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Data, Riley, Traders, Nvidia, Wall, U.S, Investors, OpenAI, Microsoft, Dow Jones, Deere & Co, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China
Nov 6 (Reuters) - Wall Street brokerages largely initiated Birkenstock (BIRK.N) with their top ratings, pointing to a likely boost from the German luxury sandal maker's recent investments to increase capacity, expansion into newer styles and brand loyalty. Birkenstock's shares dropped to as low as $35.83 in the days after listing on Oct. 11 and has traded below the IPO price of $46 apiece. Citigroup was among the most bullish, with a price target of $52, a more than 26% jump from the last close. Telsey Advisory Group analysts said Birkenstock has further avenue to expand into footwear categories such as orthopedics and professional, outdoor and active, kids, home, and sneakers. Morgan Stanley assigned a price target of $41 and an "equal-weight" rating, saying most catalysts were already priced in.
Persons: Birkenstock's, Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Jefferies, Birkenstock, Bernard Arnault, Lorraine Hutchinson, Morgan Stanley, Hogan, Riley, Reshma Rockie George, Susan Mathew, Savyata Mishra, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel, Sriraj Organizations: Arm Holdings, Citigroup, Telsey Advisory, U.S ., Global, Thomson Locations: U.S, French, Bengaluru
CNBC Daily Open: Markets’ bounce may be short-lived
  + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. But Goldman Sachs' chief equity strategist thinks such negative sentiment gives rise to a "buying opportunity," especially for a certain type of stock that boasts a healthy balance sheet . But not for Tesla Tesla shares sank nearly 5% after Panasonic said it was reducing production of electric batteries because of flagging demand for Tesla's vehicles. The spread in opinions may make the picture ahead murky, but, ironically, it does make one thing clear: markets are increasingly volatile.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Joe Biden, Tesla, Elon Musk, Europe's, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, Hogan, Ari Wald, Oppenheimer, Wald, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Wilson —, Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Consumers, U.S, Panasonic, Dow, Industrial, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Technology, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Riley, Federal Reserve, Lower Treasury Locations: New York City, Lower
Three-Stock Lunch: McDonald's, Eli Lilly and Airbnb
  + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThree-Stock Lunch: McDonald's, Eli Lilly and AirbnbArt Hogan, Riley Wealth Management chief market strategist, joins ‘Power Lunch’ to discuss three stocks: McDonald's, Eli Lilly and Airbnb.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Art Hogan, Riley, Airbnb Organizations: Riley Wealth Management
The Wall Street sign is pictured at the New York Stock exchange (NYSE) in the Manhattan borough of New York City, New York, U.S., March 9, 2020. Retail sales data, due out on Tuesday, may have to walk a tightrope to satisfy investors. A survey on Friday showed U.S. consumer sentiment deteriorated in October, with households expecting higher inflation over the next year. Todd, of Greenwood Capital, is focused on insight from companies about the cumulative effect of "higher inflation and higher rates on the consumer." “The conclusions from the consumer next week, I think, is going to be bad news is good news."
Persons: Carlo Allegri, that’s, Hogan, , Walter Todd, Todd, Jack Ablin, Ablin, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: New York Stock, REUTERS, Procter & Gamble, Netflix, Federal, Riley, , Reuters, University of Michigan, Major, Greenwood Capital, Bank of America, America Airlines Group, Treasury, Cresset, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Israel, Major U.S
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 28, 2023. The Labor Department report showed U.S. consumer prices rose 0.4% in September versus estimates of a 0.3% rise, according to economists polled by Reuters. Prices rose to 3.7% against estimates of 3.6% in the 12 months through September. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.3% in line with estimates. Reuters GraphicsAnother set of data showed jobless claims rose 209,000 for the week ended Oct. 7, lower than an estimated 210,000 rise.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Israel, Hogan, Riley, Susan Collins, Atlanta's Raphael Bostic, Kan, advancers, Shashwat Chauhan, Ankika Biswas, Johann M Cherian, Arun Koyyur, Shounak Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Labor Department, Reuters, CPI, Traders, Federal, Boston, Public, Dow Jones, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Gaza, Bengaluru
JPMorgan Chase Bank is seen in New York City, U.S., March 21, 2023. In the first 10 days of this month, the $1.46 billion Invesco KBW Bank ETF (KBWB.O) saw net outflows of $336.18 million, while the $2.49 billion SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF saw net outflows of $19.58 million. Overall, the Invesco fund and the SPDR fund posted net inflows of $381.16 million and $565.15 million so far this year. The prices of the ETFs are down 23% and 28.4%, respectively, as bank stocks fell sharply earlier this year following the collapse of California-based Silicon Valley Bank and two other U.S. lenders. "Although, our equity research team indicates that selling may have pushed prices down too far and created a buying opportunity."
Persons: Caitlin Ochs, Hogan, Riley, JPMorgan Chase, Wells, Bryan Armour, Bansari Mayur, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: JPMorgan Chase Bank, REUTERS, Exchange, KBW Bank, Regional Banking, Valley Bank, U.S, Federal, JPMorgan, Citigroup, North America, Morningstar, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, California, Bengaluru
"At the end of the day, tying that to what it means for the S & P 500 in the fourth quarter, that's a much more difficult exercise." Indeed, both the Dow and the S & P 500 moved solidly into positive territory Monday afternoon, and the tech-focused Nasdaq was higher as well. Not surprisingly, energy stocks on the S & P 500 jumped 3.7%, while industrials and discretionary stocks also posted solid gains. Finally, while the market often has knee-jerk reactions to geopolitical events, they rarely last unless there are other complicating factors. "When you look back at geopolitical issues, the market looks past them," said Lindsey Bell, chief market strategist at 248 Ventures.
Persons: Hogan, that's, Lindsey Bell, Bell Organizations: Riley Wealth Management, Dow, Federal Reserve, Columbus Day, Ventures, Reserve Locations: Israel, that's
A soft inflation reading in the week ahead after Friday's jobs report could be the signal stocks need to turn around after their recent carnage from rising bond yields. Some market participants are hopeful stocks can start to rebound from their recent lows if next week's inflation reports confirm price pressures easing. The producer price index comes out Wednesday, while the consumer price index is due out Thursday. The September consumer price index that's due out Thursday is expected to show easing inflation. Export Price Index (September) 10 a.m. Michigan Sentiment preliminary (October) Earnings: BlackRock , UnitedHealth Group , The PNC Financial Services Group , JPMorgan Chase , W ells Fargo , Citigroup
Persons: Stocks, Jim Lebenthal, Lebenthal, Dow Jones, it's, Mary Daly, we'll, Hogan, Wells, BlackRock, Price, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Cerity Partners, CPI, PPI, Treasury, Dow, San Francisco Fed, Riley, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, UnitedHealth, PepsiCo, Treasury Budget, Delta Air Lines, Walgreens, Alliance, Price, UnitedHealth Group, PNC Financial Services Group, JPMorgan Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, Michigan
Many investors expect that could be the capitulation event equities need to bottom out before rebounding. "If you get down to five and a quarter all hell's gonna break loose," Rob Ginsberg, managing director at Wolfe Research. The yield on the 10-year Treasury has spiked sharply to about 4.8% this week, about 1 whole percentage point above where it was in mid-July at around 3.7%. In fact, it won't take much for the positive narrative to start to take hold in markets, Hogan said. Hogan anticipates the S & P 500 could rise to 4,800 by year end, about 13% above where it is currently.
Persons: Rob Ginsberg, Fitch, Ray Dalio, Jamie Dimon, Wolfe Research's Ginsberg, Ginsberg doesn't, You'll, Ginsberg, Riley Financial's Art Hogan, they'll, Read, Hogan, Kevin McCarthy, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Katie Stockton, Bank of America's Stephen Suttmeier, Jeffrey Hirsch, I'm, Hirsch Organizations: Dow Jones, Treasury, Wolfe Research, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, CNBC Pro's, Supply, Bank of America's Locations: Saudi Arabia
Markets are in lock step with yields, says B. Riley's Art Hogan
  + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets are in lock step with yields, says B. Riley's Art HoganArt Hogan, B. Riley Wealth Management, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss yields soaring to levels not seen since 1987.
Persons: Hogan Art Hogan Organizations: Riley Wealth Management
Sept 21 (Reuters) - Media mogul Rupert Murdoch, 92, has stepped down as the chairman of Fox Corp (FOXA.O) and News Corp (NWSA.O), ending a more than seven-decade career in which he created an empire spanning from Australia to the United States. His son, Lachlan Murdoch, will become the chairman of News Corp and continue as the chair and CEO of Fox, the companies said on Thursday. The transition cements Lachlan's role as the leader of the media empire, putting to rest questions of succession within the Murdoch family. His son Lachlan Murdoch is seasoned and capable of running the business, but of course there's no replacement for someone like the chairman, Rupert Murdoch, who founded the company and built it over decades." "The media world is unrecognisable from the one he stepped into seventy years ago and the decision to scrap plans to reunite his empire must have smarted."
Persons: Rupert Murdoch, Lachlan Murdoch, Murdoch, BRIAN WIESER, Lachlan, MICHAEL ASHLEY SCHULMAN, Smartmatic, Rupert Murdoch's, JASON BENOWITZ, I'm, DANNI HEWSON, AJ BELL, he's, Mary Berry, he'll, RILEY, THOMAS HAYES, Wise, MATTHEW TUTTLE, ED MOYA, Aditya Soni, Samrhitha, Mayur, Ananya Mariam Rajesh, Arun Koyyur Organizations: Media, Fox Corp, News Corp, Fox, MADISON, WALL'S, Dominion, HOGAN, TUTTLE, MSNBC, Thomson Locations: Australia, United States, Bengaluru
The IPO gave Instacart a valuation of nearly $9.9 billion, a fraction of the $39 billion it was worth in 2021, the company's last funding round. Reuters GraphicsSeveral startups' valuations have shrunk since 2022 as inflation, geopolitical tensions and the Federal Reserve's rapid rate hikes soured the economic climate. But a lukewarm reception to Neumora Therapeutics' (NMRA.O) IPO last week hinted at limited investor enthusiasm for new listings. Arm soared on its first day of trading but has dropped every day since then. Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan are the lead underwriters for Instacart's IPO.
Persons: Eric Cohn, Cheney Orr, Hogan, Riley, Instacart, Apoorva Mehta, Fidji Simo, Goldman Sachs, J.P, Morgan, Niket, Noel Randewich, Devika Syamnath, Anil D'Silva, Nick Zieminski, Richard Chang Organizations: Safeway, REUTERS, Nasdaq, SoftBank's Arm, San, Maplebear Inc, Reuters, Federal, Investors, Neumora Therapeutics, Instacart's, Thomson Locations: Tucson , Arizona, U.S, San Francisco, Bengaluru, Oakland , California
Michael M. Santiago | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. In the same vein, when Arm experienced a flush of wellbeing, it radiated through markets' entire body, giving them their best day in weeks. The S&P 500 advanced 0.84%, its best showing in around two weeks, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.81%. "You've got the perfect framework of inflation heading in the right direction, but the economy not falling apart," Hogan said.
Persons: Rene Haas, Michael M, Hogan, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Goldman —, assuaged, You've Organizations: GM, Arm, Nasdaq, Santiago, Getty, CNBC, Riley, Big, JPMorgan, Tech, Dow, PPI Locations: New York City, U.S
The Federal Reserve is widely anticipated to hold rates steady in the week ahead, but key for investors will be the central bank's guidance on where it's headed from here. Investors are assessing a mixed batch of economic reports ahead of the Fed's September policy meeting. Meanwhile, August retail sales came in better than expected, jumping 0.6% against a 0.1% increase expected by economists. Housing data released in the week ahead could show whether housing demand remains solid. Week ahead calendar All times ET.
Persons: Bank's Rob Haworth, Jerome Powell, Powell, Hogan, Instacart, Arm's, Mills, Lisa Cook, , Jeff Cox, Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Investors, PPI, Federal, Riley, FedEx, Housing, Philadelphia Fed, Darden, FactSet, Systems, National Bureau of Economic Research, Artificial Intelligence, PMI, SA, PMI Manufacturing SA, PMI Services SA Locations: NAHB, Toronto, Canada
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